My Rambling Thoughts

Not always about math

finance

Brand A drink is on promotion. One bottle costs $1.40, but two cost just $1.95.

Brand B drink is also on promotion. One bottle costs $1.80, but two cost $3.15.

Which is a better deal?

This can be framed as a pure math question, but this is where math is different from real-life.

Price is not always the only factor in real-life. Why is brand B more expensive than brand A? Perhaps it is higher quality?

Can we actually tell a difference?

There's where we need to read reviews or try it out ourselves.

Should we start from a cheap product and work up or the other way round?

In theory, it doesn't matter, but it does in real life.

It is a general suggestion that it is better to start cheap and work up. I've done it both ways and found that this is sound suggestion.

The reason is that it is easier for us to detect a subtle absence, so it is easier for us to detect a cheaper brand is inferior after we tried a more expensive one.

On the other hand, it is harder for us to detect a subtle presence, so we may feel a more expensive brand "feels the same" as a cheaper brand. It takes a while to realize the subtle differences.

I started with brand B. I still prefer brand B most of the time, but sometimes I cannot resist buying brand A because it's so much cheaper. :-D

Brand B is not the most expensive, btw. It is only mid-range. The really expensive ones are like $3-4 per bottle. Those are out of my price range. :lol:

More basic math

finance

Three 250ml handwash bottles cost $7.20. Two 225ml refill packs cost $3.95.

One 250mg toothpaste costs $3.50. Two 200mg toothpastes cost $4.65.

Which are the better options?

There are actually two skills to learn here. One is to be able to do the exact calculation. The second is to be able to do a quick back-of-the-envelope estimation.

Which is the better deal?

finance

My local bakery has these offers:

$1.10/pc Buy 4 for $3.20
$1.20/pc Buy 4 for $3.50
$1.30/pc Buy 3 for $3.00

Which is a better deal? And why, of course.

I think this is the kind of math skills we should teach kids.

Learning math in abstract is boring — unless you like math. Learning math to solve real-life issues is interesting.

Fake gold spotted

News: Fake gold hits NYC

Date: 22 September 2012. Source: New York Post.

Diamond District finds 10 tungsten-filled bars

Federal agents are investigating the peddling of bogus gold bars in Midtown.

The Post has learned as many as 10 fake gold bars — made up mostly of relatively worthless tungsten — were sold recently to unsuspecting dealers in Manhattan’s Midtown Diamond District.

The price of gold has risen more than 600 percent since January 2000, while the S&P 500 index is down 0.6 percent over the same period.

One troy ounce is 31.1034768 grams, so a 10 oz gold bar is 311 grams.

Note that a gold-plated tungsten bar passes almost all gold tests — including x-ray — because its surface is real gold.

From a manufacturer who makes gold-plated tungsten alloy products:

Start with a tungsten alloy about 1/8-inch smaller in each dimension than the tungsten alloy golden bar you want, then cast a 1/16-inch layer of real pure gold all around it.

This product would feel right in the hand, and tungsten alloy golden bar would have a dead ring when knocked as gold should.

Gold-plated tungsten alloy bar would test right chemically, weigh exactly the right amount, and also pass an x-ray fluorescence scan, the 1/16" layer of pure gold being enough to stop the x-rays from reaching any tungsten.

Tungsten is chosen because it weighs extremely close to gold. Gold has a density of 19.3 g/ml; tungsten is 19.25 g/ml.

If a gold bar weighs 311 grams, then the tungsten bar will weigh 310.194 grams. That's just a difference of 0.8057 grams. I hope your scale is accurate. :lol:

Previously, to check for the tungsten, there was only the destructive drill test: drill and see if it is yellow inside.

Now, it turns out that there is a relatively simple test: ultrasound. The speed of sound in gold is 3,240 m/s, but 5,183-5,460 m/s in tungsten.

So, it is trivial to tell tungsten-filled gold bars apart from the real thing.

Personally, I don't buy this story. I highly doubt a gold dealer would use a destructive test when he can use a non-destructive test.

At the most, I believe he did not do his due diligence and got fooled by one of "for-decorative-purposes-only" gold-plated tungsten bars floating out there.

Lord of the Rings

hobby

If I were a Castle fan, I would be all over the Lord of the Rings sets. :drool:

Gandalf Arrives

Gandalf Arrives

Product Shot

83 pieces, RRP S$29.90 (US$12.99).

Quite a nice set. Can be used in any civilian medieval settings, actually.

S$30 is a lot to ask for it, though. Even S$24 (20% off) is overpriced.

Uruk-Hai Army

Uruk-Hai Army

Product Shot

257 pieces, RRP S$79.90 (US$29.99).

This set is designed to be combined with The Battle Of Helm's Deep to create a more intensive battle.

It is way overpriced in Singapore.

Attack On Weathertop

Attack On Weathertop

Product Shot

430 pieces, RRP S$119.90 (US$59.99).

It can be used in a civilian setting: a group of adventurers exploring a ruin which turns out to be a robbers' hide-out!

This can serve as the hidden entrance to The Mines of Moria too!

I don't see why this set is so expensive. I like it, but not at this price. Maybe can consider if it is 20% off — but it is still overpriced even then.

The Mines of Moria

The Mines of Moria

Product Shot

776 pieces, RRP S$159.90 (US$79.99).

I don't know the Lords of the Story backstory for this scene, but it reminds of me a treasure hunt in a king's tomb!

Again, this can be used in a cilivian setting: a group of adventurers uncover a forgotten king's tomb using an ancient map. Unfortunately, it is protected by the king's guardians! (I don't mind a little fantasy elements.)

Needless to say, this set is also very expensive.

The Battle Of Helm's Deep

The Battle Of Helm's Deep

Product Shot

1,368 pieces, RRP S$279.90 (US$129.99).

A very impressive castle, but also very expensive.

The licensed premium

There are two reasons why the LOTR sets are so expensive. First, there is the licensing fees. Licensed sets are 20-25% more expensive than regular sets.

Second, for some reason, licensed sets have a higher markup in Singapore than regular sets. I noticed it previously with Harry Potter and Pirates of the Caribbean sets too.

The first reason is understandable. The second is not.

Rumors

It is rumored that the LOTR sets are not selling well, so they will be discontinued after just one wave.

If this is true, then it is better to grab the sets you like now, because it may go out-of-stock sooner than you think. However, you should also wait because the unpopular sets will be discounted heavily towards the end!

Now, LOTR is different from Hobbits. Hobbits will still continue because of the movie tie-in. That will generate sales.

However, I don't believe the rumor. I believe it's just a matter of alternating between LOTR and Hobbit releases.

But yeah, I would consider some LOTR sets if they are discounted heavily. :lol:

The case of the missing steel

News: Ghost warehouse stocks haunt China's steel sector

Date: 16 September 2012. Source: Reuters.

Chinese banks and companies looking to seize steel pledged as collateral by firms that have defaulted on loans are making an uncomfortable discovery: the metal was never in the warehouses in the first place.

China's demand has faltered with the slowing economy, pushing steel prices to a three-year low and making it tough for mills and traders to keep up with payments on the $400 billion of debt they racked up during years of double-digit growth.

As defaults have risen in the world's largest steel consumer, lenders have found that warehouse receipts for metal pledged as collateral do not always lead them to stacks of stored metal. Chinese authorities are investigating a number of cases in which steel documented in receipts was either not there, belonged to another company or had been pledged as collateral to multiple lenders, industry sources said.

The Case of the Missing Steel. That sounds like a Hardy Boys title. :lol:

This comes about everyone has gotten complacent in the modern era and ignored the age-old saying: it is not yours unless it is in your hands.

And a collateral is, can you hold on to it?

That's why might is still right in this world.

An empty Inbox at last

My Inbox was perpetually filled.

Until today.

I moved all my mails into the Unsorted folder.

Instant empty Inbox. This has only happened once or twice in my entire career. It's like the US being debt-free. It is unconceivable.

Of course, it won't last. But I got a plan.

From today onwards, I will proactively sort my emails into several categories as they come in.

I'm determined to keep my Inbox empty! :-P

On the edge

More than ever, we are living in a world that is precipitously close to war. There are now outbreaks in several parts of the world. Some may escalate to the point of no-return.

The peaceful life as we know it may come to an end.

How should one prepare for the new world?

This seems to happen overnight. All of a sudden, it seems like the world is full of ticking time bombs, just don't know which one will explode first.

Surely you are mistaken

I got to stop using tia at the end of my email. It is supposed to stand for Thanks In Advanced, but people mistake it for my surname!

And, don't call me Shirley!

A thing of beauty

hobby
Sopwith Camel

Product Shot

883 pieces. RRP S$169.90 (US$99.99).

I chanced on this while browsing the 2012 catalogue. Looks pretty good. :-)

Using LEGO to re-create real world objects/vehicles is one way to convince adults that LEGO aren't just toys for children. :lol:

Unfortunately, my entire budget is consumed by City sets — that are meant for children. :-P

Creator house 2012

hobby

There is only one house in the Creator series in 2012, which is good for my wallet! :lol:

Seaside House (2012)

Seaside House

Product Shot

415 pieces. RRP S$79.90 (US$49.99).

Adds some variety to the mostly standard houses. The light-blue is quite ugly, if you ask me.

I like the first two builds, but I feel the third build is pretty close to the first one.

Two large 2012 sets to drool at

hobby

Kingdoms Joust (2012)

Kingdoms Joust

Product Shot

1,575 pieces, RRP S$249.90 (US$119.99).

The last in the Kingdom series. The most expensive and arguably the most impressive in the series.

For the first time since 1983, there is no Castle theme. Instead, there is the licensed Lord of the Rings theme.

I'm attracted by this set. However, it doesn't fit into the medieval part of the modern city landscape that I want to create.

So, pass.

(If I have infinite money, I would get it. But being money-limited, I have to choose.)

Haunted House (2012)

Haunted House

Product Shot

2,064 pieces, RRP US$179.99.

Not strictly a Modular Building, but is almost like one. And is priced like one!

I'm attracted to this set because it is a house! I would love to use it as a normal high-end "mansion" — after removing the run-down elements, of course.

But, if I were to choose between this and a normal Modular Building, I'll choose the latter. Sorry, Haunted House, pass.

(Again, limited by money.)

Winter Sets 2011/2012

hobby

Winter Village Post Office (2011)

Winter Village Post Office

Product Shot

I just realized I never posted the 2011 winter set! So here it is.

822 pieces. RRP S$119.90 (US$69.99).

Much fewer snow. Comes with a vehicle for the first time.

I don't like the vehicle because it places the set in a modern setting. Previously, it was timeless.

Winter Village Cottage (2012)

Winter Village Cottage

Product Shot

LEGO has announced this year's winter set. It is a bigger set (1,490 pieces), so it is also more expensive.

Based on its estimated RRP US$99.99, I think it'll cost S$170.

Very thick snow! It must be really cold to build an igloo.

This is a good set — there are many brick-built accessories, the house is larger and its interior is incredibly detailed. The only question is, is it worth the price?

At US$99.99, the winter set graduates from a medium set to a large set. Some people speculate that this is the last big set for the series — it is LEGO's tradition for the last in a series to "go out with a bang".

But part of the increase in price could be simply due to the weakened US dollars. In general, FY12 sets have higher RRP.

Comparing the sets

Set Year $ #Pieces
Winter Toy Shop 2009 US$59.99 815
Winter Village Bakery 2010 US54.99 687
Winter Village Post Office 2011 US$69.99 822
Winter Village Cottage 2012 US$99.99 (est) 1,490

Some people use $/piece to determine if a set is worth it. However, this only works if the pieces are more-or-less the same size.

In some sets, such as the Winter Village Cottage, there are large numbers of 1x1 tiles that inflate the piece count, but they are very small, light and cheap!

It's time to look at both $/piece and $/gram.

HDB flat hits S$1 million — maybe

finance

News: S$200,000 COV record could be broken soon

Date: 7 September 2012. Source: CNA.

The cash-over-valuation (COV) component in HDB resale transactions is rising and it could hit over S$200,000 soon.

COV refers to the sum of cash that needs to be paid by a buyer over and above the market valuation of a flat.

Real estate agents said the median COV paid for HDB resale flats has risen by about 12 percent to S$30,000 in the third quarter so far.

Hot on the heels of the $980k EM flat is another EM flat that could be sold for $1 million — if it goes through.

It looks like it'll take at least $900k to buy an EM with a sky-terrace.

(Valuation at $780k means you need to come up with $198k in cash — $78k for the 10% and $120k COV.)

I wonder if the buyer knows about the 99-year lease? Some of these EMs are pretty old — around 30 years.

Flushed with cash

finance

News: $808,080 HDB sale hits the roof

Date: 5 September 2012. Source: TNP.

Just how much are people willing to pay for an HDB flat?

Mr Freddy Choo paid $808,080 for his executive maisonette in Tampines.

Worth every cent, he said.

The price includes a whopping $168,080 in cash over valuation (COV).

This was actually an earlier news. The flat is only valued at $640k. It looks like the valuation does not consider the renovations done at all.

Paying $168k COV seems excessive at first, but after thinking about it, I think it's quite an okay deal.

Let's say Mr Choo already plans to spend $100k on renovations and $30k on furnishings. That means his real COV is only $38k!

(These are excessive amounts to pay, but suppose Mr Choo really wants a high-end place.)

He would pay cash for these anyway to avoid the high interest rate. Instead, he would take a higher housing loan to take advantage of the current low interest rates.

One thing I don't understand is that 80% of his valuation is only $512k. How can he borrow $560k?

$20k to a million!

finance

News: Bishan HDB executive maisonette changes hands for record $980,000

Date: 7 September 2012. Source: ST.

Despite its steep $980,000 asking price, a Bishan executive maisonette was snapped up on the first day of an open house held to sell it.

The buyers are a Singapore citizen and her Chinese-national father, and the seller is a Singaporean woman who is relocating to Shanghai for work.

The price tag makes this the most expensive Housing Board (HDB) resale flat sold. The last record was held by an executive flat in Toa Payoh, which was sold for $910,000 in May this year.

The $980,000 includes a $200,000 cash over valuation (COV), which is a premium paid to the seller in cash. It is also believed to be the highest ever COV reported.

Valuation is $780k, which isn't cheap either.

$550k was a lot to pay in 2005, but it was cheap in hindsight! 5-room flats in good locations now fetch more than that!

HDB prices spiked after 2007. Years of limited supply, increased demand from new PRs and their willingness to tap their CPF fully — which, in hindsight, was the right thing to do.

Although we think that $980k is very expensive for a HDB, the situation changes if we compare to a condo. Suddenly, it seems very reasonably priced! (Especially if we prefer living space over facilities.)

The issue here is the $200k COV.

What is valuation? It means how much professional appraisers think the flat is worth.

And you want to pay 25% more? Crazy.

Comex Show 2012 attendance

2008 725,000 $56 mil
2009 710,000 $63 mil
2010 815,000 $68.5 mil
2011 822,000 $70 mil
2012 830,000 $73 mil

Someone questioned if this year's figure is a bit too high.

Well, the bubble has to burst at some point. This would have been a good year to do so, but I think they still want to maintain the illusion.

Tell-tale signs: only two halls, half of one hall is non-IT, reduced human traffic.

Next year, perhaps?

The shopping experience

toys

We shop for the ingredients in a store, of course:

PlanToys Market Store

This PlanToys Market Store may look simple, but it costs US$175! :-O The good news is that we should be able to DIY it at a fraction of the price using parts from IKEA.

And we need a shopping cart:

Melissa & Doug Shopping Cart

The most realistic shopping cart, by Melissa & Doug. It is actually made of steel. It also costs a jaw-dropping US$48.95. I think I'll give it a miss.

Shopping time!

toys

Before we can prepare the food in the kitchen, we need to buy the ingredients first.

Learning Resources Farmer's Market Vegetable Set

Learning Resources Farmer's Market Vegetable Set

US$9.99.

Consists of carrot, corn, cucumber, green pepper and tomato.

Learning Resources Farmer's Market Fruit Set

Learning Resources Farmer's Market Fruit Set

US$12.97.

Consists of apple, banana, orange, peach, pear, and strawberry.

Learning Resources Fruit and Vegetable Play Food Basket

Learning Resources Fruit & Vegetable Play Food Basket

US$17.40.

Consists of apple, banana, carrot, celery, cucumber, green pepper, lettuce, pear, red onion, strawberries (2x), tomato and a basket.

All the vegetables and fruits are life-size except for the lettuce.

Melissa & Doug PlayTime Veggies

Melissa & Doug PlayTime Veggies

US$13.11. 7 pieces.

One class higher. Said to be realistic, life-size and tough!

Cons: chemical smell when new.

Melissa & Doug PlayTime Fruits

Melissa & Doug PlayTime Fruits

US$15.17. 8 pieces.

Melissa & Doug Bulk Fruits & Veggies

Melissa & Doug Fruits & Veggies Apple

US$10-$18. 6 per pack.

I can't seem to find the full list, but these are available: apple, banana, carrot, corn, cucumber, lemon, nectarine, orange, pear, pepper, tomato.

I think this is for people who want to create a grocery store. :lol:

However, it may be cheaper to buy multiple sets of the PlayTime Veggies and Fruits instead.

Melissa & Doug Food Groups

Melissa & Doug Food Groups

US$16.74.

This set is much less realistic looking, but it is made of wood and has a theme of four food groups: grain, meat, dairy and veggie/fruit. Comes with four small crates.

Cons: not realistic and not durable.

Army Builder

I'll say a decent grocery store needs 3-5 of each fruit/vegetable. That is very expensive. If we get 5 sets of M&D PlayTime Fruits, that would be US$75.85 already! I don't think I even spend so much on real fruits in a year!

There is only one solution: look east. ;-)

On Tao Bao, a simple set costs just 10 yuan. That's just S$2! A realistic fruit costs 3 yuan, so 8 of them would cost just S$4.80. That's four times cheaper!

(Although Learning Resources and Melissa & Doug play fruits are made in China, I can't find them at local prices. The re-imported sets are super expensive!)

I don't need the fruits/vegetables to be super realistic. Just need to be realistic. There are other considerations such as toxic chemicals, choking hazard and whether the toy can survive tough handling.

Compulsary land acquisition strikes again!

transport

News: Making way for the new Thomson Line

Date: 29 August 2012. Source: CNA.

Some residential and commercial properties will be acquired for the construction of the new Thomson MRT Line.

The post office along Upper Thomson Road will be one of them. It was opened 54 years ago.

The next closest post office for the area is at the Bishan Community Club.

But to many patrons, what's special about the stand-alone Thomson Road Post Office, is the ease and convenience of doing business there.

The Thomson Post Office may be an old building (1958), but it is also very drab and has no historical value, so I don't think anyone would miss it.

But, take a guess why there aren't many old buildings in Singapore? Because they are torn down all the time!

Just beside the post office is the famous Roti Prata House. I sure hope they own the shophouse... or I guarantee that they won't be there anymore.

Ms Agnes Low tells the best joke. Refusing to sell if the price is not acceptable? Hello, this is compulsary land acquisition! SLA call the shots.

Debt death spiral

finance
YearDebt (US$)
18631,119,772,138.63Crossed US$1 billion
191814,592,161,414.00Crossed US$10 billion
1943136,696,090,329.90Crossed US$100 billion
19821,142,034,000,000.00Crossed US$1 trillion
200810,024,724,896,912.49Crossed US$10 trillion
16 Nov 201115,000,000,000,000.00
28 Aug 201216,000,000,000,000.00

The US took 200 years to accumulate its first trillion in debt. Today, it added US$1 trillion in just 286 days.

It just gets shorter and shorter...

A parallel North-South MRT line

transport

News: Thomson Line to open from 2019 with 22 stations

Date: 29 August 2012. Source: CNA.

Singapore's sixth rail network — the Thomson Line (TSL) — will open from 2019, instead of the indicative timeline of 2018 announced in the Land Transport Master Plan.

Minister for Transport Lui Tuck Yew, who gave an update on the Thomson Line on Wednesday, said the change in timeline is to accommodate some adjustments made to the original plan.

Under the final rail alignment plan of the Land Transport Authority (LTA), the TSL will be longer and have more stations.

I must say the two landed properties along Stevens Road and Robin Close are really suay. All their neighbours will stay put... but them.

Just like Rochor Centre before it, Pearls Centre will be no more. This is Singapore's underhand method to acquire prime land.

"Fellows, I'm going to take over this land. You don't have a choice. Don't worry, I'll pay you the current market value, which is low because your property is run-down and the area isn't developed yet. When I develop the land in future, it's going to be worth 5 times more! But none of you have a share in that. Mwahahahaahhaha!"

It just rubs me the wrong way.

Back to the MRT line. Do we need another MRT line? 10 years of inconvenience and S$18 billion to serve 400,000 commuters. That's S$45k over the life of each commuter. If a commuter spends $4 per day, it'll take 30 years to break even!

List of Step2 kitchens

toys
Kitchen set US$ S$ #Acc #Elec Weight Vol
Deluxe Kitchen Play Set $281.28 162 5 83.75 lbs ?
Grand Walk-In Kitchen & Grill $260 103 3 50 lbs 237 kg
Deluxe Kitchen $220 $980 38 5 70 lbs 120.1 kg
Grand Walk-In Kitchen $220 $1,125 100 3 55 lbs 214.1 kg
Fresh Market Kitchen $200 $840 47 4 43 lbs 176.3 kg
PartyTime Kitchen $150 $690 33 4 32 lbs 79.8 kg
50's Diner $140 54 3 30 lbs 98.6 kg
Dream Kitchen $140 $690 37 4 42 lbs 67.3 kg
Master Chef Kitchen $140 $660 36 4 33 lbs 82.1 kg
Legacy Kitchen ~$130 28? 2 34 lbs 82.1 kg
Gourmet Cafe Kitchen $120 $450 40? 1 26 lbs 53.6 kg
Welcome Home Kitchen ~$100 9? 1 36 lbs 44.4 kg
Custom Kitchen $90 20 1 31.5 lbs 44.2 kg
Fresh Accents Kitchen $90 $395 30 2 20 lbs 39.3 kg
New Traditions Kitchen $90 $400 29 2 21 lbs 39.3 kg
Prepare & Share Kitchen ~$90 est $370 41 1 27 lbs 54 kg
Modern Lines Kitchen $80 $495 19 3 30 lbs 36.3 kg
Cozy Kitchen $60 21 0 14 lbs 22.8 kg

Bold indicates sets that I am interested in.

Singapore prices from J-Kidz. I wonder how they price the kitchens — they are not consistent with the US price.

Kitchen playsets

toys

Mention kitchen playsets and the first impression is, aren't they for girls?

That is a common perception, especially if we go Kiddy Palace or Toys R US, where the entire kitchen section is in the most girly pink color we can imagine.

Those are not the kitchen sets we are looking for.

Step2 and Little Tikes have pretty well-made plastic kitchens with electronic features.

(Wood kitchens look even nicer, but they usually don't have electronic parts.)

Modern Lines Kitchen

Step2 Modern Lines Kitchen

The Step2 Modern Lines Kitchen is a pretty basic model at US$80 — although it is listed at US$120 at US Toys R US.

It looks pretty neat and clean. I like it.

J-Kidz brings these big stuff into Singapore. They list this at S$495! :-O

Prepare & Share Kitchen

Step2 Prepare & Share Kitchen

The Step2 Prepare & Share Kitchen looks good too, though it lacks a microwave. It is a US Toys R US exclusive (US$90).

J-Kidz says it is bringing it in September. They say it should cost about S$370.

Master Chef Kitchen

Step2 Master Chef Kitchen

The Step2 Master Chef Kitchen is slightly bigger. It has a lot more storage area and looks more like a complete kitchen.

It is one grade higher at US$140. J-Kidz sells it at S$660.

The biggest play kitchen

toys
Step2 Grand Walk-In Kitchen & Grill

There is no bigger play kitchen than Step2's Grand Walk-In Kitchen & Grill at an eye-popping US$260.

(It costs over S$1k by the time it gets to Singapore!)

It has a grill, stove top, sink, microwave, fridge, cupboards, flooring and a 103-piece accessory set.

But the thing that differentiates it from other kitchen playsets is its walk-in feature. It is more like a small playhouse than a kitchen!

It is impressive, but it requires a lot of space. And the walk-in area isn't that big — it's a tight squeeze for two children. So, it isn't really as big as you think it is.

I'll take a standard kitchen playset instead.

A big home for a baby

toys
Fisherprice Learning Home (front)

The Fisher-Price Laugh & Learn Learning Home is a large toy with many playable parts. It is really just a door. But it is very big for a baby!

The Learning Home was released in 2004 and is still available today; it should be a good seller. Most reviews are full of praise for it.

Its RRP and street price are US$90 — most likely due to its size. Shipped volumetric weight is 9.6 kg; 560 kg after assembly.

Due to its size, it is infeasible to ship it from overseas, so the only possibility is to get it locally.

Unfortunately, the Learning Home is quite hard to find locally. Very few places carry it — or carry it anymore. I guess it is not popular — too big and expensive.

But it is available for SS$270. But as we know, it should cost around S$180 based on the 2x ratio. No wonder it is still available. Indeed, one retailer sold it for S$200, but is out-of-stock now.

Second hand

Second hand units pop up a few times a year. A working one in good condition goes for S$100-120. Working but okay condition goes for S$80. A non-working (electronics) one goes for S$60. Take your pick.

Rental

It is also possible to rent the Learning Home for S$35 per month!

Suppose we buy a new unit at S$200 and are able to sell it away at S$100 easily, $35/month means the break-even point is 2.86 months.

Will the baby get tired of it in that time? If it is, then it is better to rent. If not, it is better to buy.

Looks like even buying toys require some financial planning. :lol:

No fooling the global shopper

toys
Fisherprice Learning Kitchen (front)

The Fisher-Price Laugh & Learn Learning Kitchen is a medium-sized toy with many playable parts. Unfortunately, it retails at S$120, which makes it a pretty high-end toy.

But is it really a high-end toy?

The US Fisher-Price website lists it at a Recommended Retail Price (RRP) of US$38. But the street price is lower. For example, the US Toys R Us website lists it at just US$25.

Based on other Fisher-Price products, the local price should be around 2x of the US RRP, so the Learning Kitchen should cost just S$76.

I thought it would be a decent deal if it is available at 20% off (S$96) — which happens a few times a year. Imagine my surprise when I saw it on a special promotion for just S$70!

(In other words, the 2x ratio holds.)

The normal retail price is just unbelievable "chop-carrot".

The Learning Kitchen is worth considering at $70, but is not a good deal at all at S$120.

The moral of the story? Check the US price first. Local prices may be over inflated. (It's tough to be a local retailer.)

The pink discount

Missus wanted to get a USB thumb drive. We just looked for the cheapest one since she had no requirements.

We saw a 8 GB awful-pink color SanDisk thumb drive selling for $7.50. In contrast, the regular ugly red-black version — also SanDisk — was selling for $9.90.

Wow, what a difference. Let's get the pink color one, Missus said.

I was skeptical the color alone could make such a price difference.

I asked the sales assistant if there were any difference between the two. He said they are identical.

But the price, I asked?

He was surprised too. He took the regular version for a price-check. $7.50!

We bought it.

Aboard Titanic

Sometimes, I wonder how was it to be like on board Titanic?

After it crashed with the iceberg, it took so long to sink that it must have felt unreal at first. Just a gentle shake and a gradual tilt. Surely it wasn't serious?

But it was fatal and there was no stopping physics. The Titanic sank in 2 hours and 40 minutes.