My Rambling Thoughts

Slow-mo train wreck

Watching Europe and US deal with their financial crisis is like watching a train wreck in slow-mo.

It's going to happen, ok!

But perhaps not in my lifetime. Sigh.

When I grew up, I learnt all the wrong values: fairness, justice, honesty, integrity, compassion.

You know what, it turns out these are lies spread by the human society to maintain order and discipline.

But, the "masters of the universe" are themselves exempted from these.

It was there all along, but it was never as blatant as now.

As people say, history books are written by the victors. Shame on me for believing such one-sided tales growing up!

So, sometimes, I just sit back, relax and enjoy the show. In one million years time, it won't matter anyway.

Bare minimum electrical usage

The monthly usage of my three electrical appliances that run 24/7:

Appliance Usage Power Cost
Fridge 58.3 kWh 79.6W $17.49
PC 24.3 kWh 33.2W $7.29
Modem/Router 4.0 kWh 5.5W $1.20

Costs are based on $0.30 per kWh.

My fridge was declared to use 518 kWh per year under Singapore's mandatory Energy Labelling Scheme. It uses 700 kWh — at default settings.

The PC power usage seems pretty high. 33W?! I was expecting 25W.

I should consider spinning the HD down when it is not used, say, after 4 hours.

My modem/router is rated at 12W. It's good to see that the normal usage is only 45% of that. :nod:

The science of USB charging

USB 2.0 ports can supply 500mA. USB wall chargers can supply 1-2A.

The device needs to distinguish between the two because it should not draw more 500mA when connected to a USB port (to avoid destabilizing the host).

The USB standard says if the two data lines are shorted, then higher current is available.

USB wall chargers automatically short these two lines, so any USB cables can be used.

That's why there are charge-only USB cables; they short the data lines. Needless to say, you shouldn't connect these cables to USB ports. :-)

Apple has its own way to signal that the device can draw higher current. Before we blast Apple for doing things its own way, Apple's approach actually has one merit: it can be used on a normal USB port. Some Apple MacBooks can supply 1.1A to iPhone/iPad.

Macross DYRL, censored after 28 years

anime

Three confirmed edits so far.

Two gory scenes are edited. When Myria stomped on a Zentradi soldier in her battlesuit, the head was blurred as her foot came down on it.

Second, the scene where a civilian was decapitated when the concert hall ceiling fell down on him. That scene was gone.

Why, after 28 years?

These may look like gratuitous violence, but they show that war is violent and civilians die, sometimes horribly. (In a cartoon, for children!)

But the third one is the worst of all. I let the poster who realized it say it:

There is silence as Minmay tries to makes up her mind as to what she should do. Then, the Valkyrie right behind them explodes. The soft piano music leading into the strings indicates to us that she has made an important realization. She hesitates as to how to express it in words for a few moments, until she says "gomen ne, Hikaru". She finally understands that as part of the responsibility of her having chosen the life of a singer against the wishes of her parents, it is her duty to sing right now. Then there is a brief silence and she accepts the lyrics and we get the first power strains of the title song, "DYRL".

The screening last night, however, was quite different. There was no BGM (background music) for that scene until the DYRL intro. It may be subtle, but it takes away a WHOLE LOT for me. I am very sensitive to the usage of BGM in movies/TV and DYRL is perfect as it was — I don't know if this omission is on purpose or a mistake, but it is much, much more detrimental to the work overall than the violence being cut. This is Minmay's monumental decision we are talking about, the whole climax pivots on this one scene, and the BGM indicated the exact moment she realized, "oh my god, it's all up to me". Without the BGM there, you lose the emotional punctuation of that scene. It's almost like writing a novel in capitals. There is effective silence, of course, but remember that this scene is silent right up until Minmay actually looks up — then we hear the music.

The removal of music may seem insignificant, but this is the "Han Solo or Greedo shot first?" moment.

Also, it's not that directors cannot edit their shows after the fact. They can. Call it 'Director's Cut', not 'Theatrical Ed'. Theatrical Ed means it should be exactly the same as shown in the cinema!

Strong currency

finance

The S$-RM exchange rate is now S$1 to RM2.50. (It is actually slightly higher.)

It's not that the ringgit is very weak, but the Singapore dollar is very strong.

Once again, MAS is trying to combat inflation.

I doubt it will work.

But one thing is for sure: now is the time to go on a shopping spree.. overseas!

Singapore, a come-and-go place

social

News: Singapre is now a NEW country changed completely from 15 yrs ago...

Date: 21 July 2012. Source: CNA Forum.

Singapore now the El Dorado of Asia. Not New York but El Dorado.

This is country of human flux, a cross roads, a come and go state. It is crafted as a service... Singapore is a service providing jobs and opportunities for the young mobile crowd from India, China and Phillipines.

They come, they go. They are only interested in a transient stay here full of adventure in a foreign land, working in a foreign country, being with their group of young fellow country men with the same ideas. The goal is to come, make some money and go back to tell everyone else they have been here.

This is the dynamic flux that energise the Singapore economy. Our telcos all have special prepaid packages catering to the these workers who are here for 1-2 years then go home.

I don't know who wrote this piece, but he really describes the present Singapore perfectly.

The part about the defence really hurts, because what is supposed to be a source of loyalty and pride now becomes a burden and discrimination.

Why do Singaporeans put up with this?

Dispute between neighbours; nothing to see

social

News: Another sign Singapore is bursting at the seams?

Date: 20 July 2012. Source: ST.

In yet another worrying sign that Singapore is fraying at the edges, an elderly retiree was left with a fractured eye socket after a parking scuffle at Serangoon Gardens turned ugly.

Retired businessman Goh Poh Ket, 65, claimed he was punched and assaulted by a man and his two sons after he parked his car outside their home along Jalan Chulek, reported The Straits Times.

What began as a shouting match between all four ended up in Goh being viciously hit by a remote control, a plastic bottle and a sock filled with a hard substance, no less.

I think the dispute is purely over the carpark space. People who live in these "low-end" landed properties have very limited carpark space, and they view the "lot" outside their house as theirs, even though it is not true.

This source of friction has always been there, even before the influx of foreigners, so let's not be xenophobia here.

In Singapore, it is a big deal to live in a landed property. But it is a given in almost every other country. When I see the row of cars parked outside the landed properties in Singapore, it always reminds me of the poor housing estates in JB.

You see, the houses in those areas are typically rented out and shared by 3-4 people, which means 3-4 cars. Since the driveway can only hold 1-2 cars, the extra cars are parked outside.

So, where a Singaporean sees a $1.5mil landed property, a foreigner sees a low-end housing estate.

Now, there are landed properties in Singapore that do not have cars parked in front of them. Those properties are $5mil and above. My jaws always drop when I go past them.

Next stop: multi-generation loan

finance

News: Home loan repayment can now stretch to 50 years

Date: 20 July 2012. Source: ST.

UNITED Overseas Bank (UOB) has introduced a home loan that spans half a century — likely the longest-term loan available here.

UOB introduced this longer loan duration as more customers have been requesting for such loans.

To borrow for 50 years is indeed shocking. You don't own the flat, you merely rent it from the bank.

Even 40 years is too long. If you borrow at 30 years old, you will only clear the loan at 70 years old!

If you think about it, 30 years is too long too. If you service the loan using your entire Ordinary CPF a/c, then what do you have left for your retirement?

None! You have to sell your flat to "recover" your CPF.

Astonishing profit

transport

The cat A COE, from the last bidding exercise before the August cut, is $68,656.

But we know that already. Let's look at something else:

Car OMV Basic Cost Selling Price
Vios 1.5 $11,231 $84,795 $106,888
BMW 535 $64,641 $230,780 $338,800

(LTA provides this info on their website. Don't say they didn't try to inform the dumb^H^H^H^H car owners.)

OMV is the cost of the car when it is imported into Singapore. In other words, it is the real cost of the car.

Basic Cost is after adding all the custom duty, levy, tax, GST and COE. IIRC, the formula is OMV * 2.37 + COE.

Selling Price is what the car sells for.

The difference between the Selling Price and the Basic Cost is dealer's gross profit.

Let's see:

  • For Vios, an entry-level car, we are paying 9.5x its real cost!
  • For BMW 535, the profit margin is a staggering $108k. :-O

In contrast, Vios "only" has a profit margin of $22k. In the abundant COE era, the dealers earn <$10k per car, but they make it up in volume.

Death spiral of supply

transport

LTA just announced that the cat A (1.6L cars) COE quota has been reduced from 1,239 to 786 for August 2012 to January 2013.

The current cat A COE price is $59,421. Watch as it shoots up to S$75k.

We are experiencing a good example of death spiral. Once LTA cut the supply, COE went up, and car owners decided to hold onto their cars. Which further lowered the supply and caused the COE to go up more, and that convinced even more car owners to hold onto their cars.

Everyone is expecting a "bumper crop" of COE in 2015 and 2016, because everyone is expecting car owners to scrap their cars at the 10th year mark.

Now, what if COE costs $70k and a new car (with COE) costs $120k? Car owners might just choose to renew their COE.

That will really reduce the COE quota for new cars. That is a "nightmare" scenario that nobody has considered.

Remember, you read it here first. :lol:

LTA needs a new scheme to keep the car population in check.

Gambling is good business

social

News: Casino entry fees collected hit $288 million in 18 months

Date: 10 July 2012. Source: Yahoo.

Casino entry level fees collected by the government in the past 18 months reached S$288 million, Minister of State for Finance Josephine Teo said on Tuesday.

Used to fund social and charitable causes, the levies amounted to $93 million in the first six months of this year and $195 million over the whole of last year.

Singapore holds the world record in withholding information. Why can't Ms Teo just tell us how much annual entry levy they collected?

If there are no annual entry levies, then $195 mil translates to 1.95 mil visits, or 5,342 visits per day. Wow.

Since there are annual entry levies, this is the minimum, because a $2,000 levy means you are going there at least 20 times.

(According to a 2010 news article — I can't find stats for 2011 — MBS has 25k visitors per day! That means 50k visitors for the two IRs!)

I suspect the reason Ms Teo cannot break the figure down because it is embarassing. Just like lumping citizens and PRs together. My Wild-Ass-Guess is that 40-50% is from the annual entry levy.

The other thing to look at is the tax revenue: $1.1 bil last year.

The effective tax rate is about 12% (5% of net winnings for premium players and 15% for normal players). That means the IRs have a net winning of S$9.17 bil. (An average of $382 mil per IR per month.)

Pretty good.

By the way, if we take $9.17 bil divided by 1.95 mil visits, that means on average, a visitor will lose $4.7k.

Which one would you rather have: landed or flat?

finance

News: No regrets over big move to JB

Date: 10 July 2012. Source: BT.

Despite news of Singaporeans being victims of crime in Johor, more are snapping up houses for less than half of what they would cost here.

Even a daily commute to work or faraway schools is not a deterrent — as long as they go home to a mansion.

The lure of living large for less has drawn more Singaporeans to Johor.

About 5,000 Singaporeans now call Johor home, estimates the Johor-Singapore Community Care Association, a newly formed group that aims to champion the interests of Singaporeans living across the Causeway.

A semi-detached house costs RM1 mil, or S$410k. That's cheaper than my flat. Looks like I have a chance to live in one after I retire. :-)

A Vios costs S$105k today. So does an average terrace house (RM257k) in Malaysia!

Singapore is a really expensive place. It is wise to minimize expenses there so that the strong S$ can be used more effectively elsewhere.

One advice. In Malaysia, especially in Johor Bahru and KL, there is only one rule: keep a low-profile and blend in. Malaysia is safe — as long as you don't attract unwanted attention!

How to appear rich by borrowing more

transport

News: More luxury car buyers seen taking loans

Date: 4 July 2012. Source: BT.

MORE and more premium-brand customers are taking vehicle loans as car prices rise but there does not appear to be much change among buyers of mass-market makes, say some motor distributors.

They refuse to be named or give details, citing confidentiality, but say their numbers prove it.

"We have seen more buyers taking financing over the last three to six months," said the general manager of a small high-end make.

He added that the average loan quantum taken is 80 per cent of the car price, or $120,000 to $130,000, to be repaid over eight to nine years.

Key takeaway:

  • Average loan quantum for large cars is 80% ($120k) over 8 years. Wow.
  • Most small car loans are 100% over 10 years. :-O
  • 8 out of 10 people take car loans.

1.88% (flat-rate) interest is considered low. For $120k, the monthly interest is $188.

Android programming is hard

I find it hard to learn how to develop Android apps. There are four hurdles:

  • Setting up
  • UI
  • Java
  • XML

The last two are especially tough.

Missing apps

I don't understand why these simple apps are missing from an Android phone:

  • Barcode scanner
  • Compass / GPS
  • Flashlight
  • Notepad
  • SMS backup
  • To-do list

The problem with most of the apps on the App Store is that they need way too many questionable permissions to run.

A barcode scanner that requires access to my browser bookmarks?

A compass that can buy apps on the Market?

A flashlight that requires access to the camera and full Internet access?

Count me out.

This is almost enough to make me resume learning Android programming.

Broken security model

An Android app lists its permissions upfront. The user then decides whether to install the app. This seems like a good idea. However, the permissions are too coarse.

Many free apps require full Internet access to serve ads. However, it is impossible to know if they send anything else.

No more Flash from Android 4.1

This has to fall into the "What are they thinking" category.

Adobe just announced that they would not develop and test Flash Player on Android 4.1.

I simply can't believe that Adobe is driving a nail into their own coffin.

If the Flash-based contents can't be accessed with mobile devices, then people won't use Flash in the first place!

Painless firmware update

I got a Galaxy Mini phone with Android 2.2.1. It doesn't allow OTA (Over The Air) firmware updating.

No problem. I installed the Samsung Kies software. To my surprise, it doesn't allow updating the firmware for this phone either!

Still not a problem. I used a third-party tool to install the official 2.3.4 ROM.

The process took just 5 minutes.

Painless. Every firmware update should be like that.

Price drops for Samsung S2

Starhub is offering the Samsung S2 for S$198 with the Smart Surf 100 plan. This is a very decent price!

Just two weeks ago, it was still S$298.

And it was S$448 when it was launched June last year.

I'm guessing the S3 will cost S$398 in one year's time.

What's the best value-for-$ phone now?

The HTC Desire V (not to be confused with the HTC One V).

Desire V
Screen 4"
Resolution 800x480
Display RGB?
CPU 1.0 GHz single core
RAM 512 MB
Storage 4 GB
Card slot microSD 32 GB
Camera 5 MP
2nd camera n/a
Dimensions 118.5 x 62.3 x 9.3 (mm)
Weight 114g
Battery 1650 mAh

It also allows dual SIM cards.

And running ICS (Android 4.0).

The only real downside is that it has only 512 MB RAM.

It is only S$68 if we take the lowest-end Starhub SmartSurf 100 plan. (S$0 for SmartSurf 300 plan).

Smart Surf 100 or 300?

SmartSurf 100 costs S$38 per month, SmartSurf 300 S$58. For a 2-year contract, that is a difference of S$480.

These phones have an extra S$200 subsidy:

SmartSurf 100 SamrtSurf 300
Samsung Nexus $298 $98
Galaxy S2 $298 $98
HTC One S $398 $198

SmartSurf 300 for these phones cost $11.67 more per month compared to SmartSurf 100.

Warming up to the Galaxy S3

Likes

Feels light!

The clock has stop watch and timer!

The video player can play many formats.

Has file explorer.

Notification bar has quick settings (although not customizable).

Nice-to-have

The S3 has a number of motion-control features. I think these are quite useful:

  • Direct call: call the person by putting the phone to the ear (when in messaging or contacts)
  • Smart stay: don't sleep when a person is viewing the screen
  • Smart alert: vibrate if there are missed messages or calls when picking up the phone

But I turned all of them off. I don't like my phone to be too smart. :-P

Pop-up play (video in a window) is also nice, although I doubt I would really use it.

Dislikes

It only comes with the Samsung keyboard. What's so bad about it? Its predictive input. It always shows its best guess at the cursor, even though we may be typing other characters. Also, when we backspace to correct, it does not use the whole word to spell check, but only from the point where we make the correction. The word will be misspelt.

To make things worse, the stock keyboard is not provided. Got to get it from the Market or a stock ICS phone.

There is a slight bluish tint when viewing at an angle.

The on/off switch is located on the side. (I'm used to it being on top.)

The Back button is on the right. (I'm used to it being on the left.)

The Home button is a physical button. (Difficult to press.)

Need to long-press the Home button to see the recently used apps. (Not obvious.)

The call log always shows all messages/calls. Filtering by-calls-only doesn't stick.

No built-in SMS backup/restore app.

No decent built-in memo (S Memo is meant more for free-style input).

No built-in GPS/compass app.

Top Android phones

S2 Nexus S3
Screen 4.27" 4.65" 4.8"
Resolution 800x480 1280x720 1280x720
Display Super AMOLED Plus Super AMOLED Super AMOLED
CPU 1.2 GHz dual core 1.2 GHz dual core 1.4 GHz quad core
RAM 1 GB 1 GB 1 GB
Storage 16 GB 16 GB 16 GB
Card slot microSD 32 GB None microSD 64 GB
Camera 8 MP 5 MP 8 MP
2nd camera 2 MP 1.3 MP 1.9 MP
Dimensions 125.3 x 66.1 x 8.49 (mm) 135.5 x 67.9 x 8.9 (mm) 136.6 x 70.6 x 6.6 (mm)
Weight 116g 135g 133g
Battery 1650 mAh 1750 mAh 2100 mAh

These top-of-the-line Samsung phones are even more powerful than my desktop PC 15 years ago...

The S2 would have been perfect if it has 720p resolution.

Evolution of phones

Evolution of phones

How time flies. It has been over two years since I got my Motorola Milestone. It has served me pretty well, except for the following:

  • I almost never use its physical keyboard, negating its biggest advantage over other phones in its generation. OTOH, I have to carry the extra 30g all the time.
  • It has very little internal memory (133 MB, but only ~90 MB is available for use); it's a constraint on the apps I can install.
  • The blue LED spoiled within six months.
  • The power button spoiled just before the two year mark.

My usage pattern is quite simple:

  • Surf net
  • SMS
  • Take notes
  • Map

And almost nothing else. Many apps are nice-to-have, but they are not deal breakers.

It's time for a recontract.

The trend now is >4.5" displays. They are way too big. I'm still wondering if the big phone can fit into all my pants! I'm sure it'll come back to 4" in the next generation.

This time, I will be more selective when it comes to apps. Unlike previously, now I don't mind paying a little for an app (say $1 or $2) so that it doesn't serve ads or connect to the Internet unnecessarily.

New sandals for my painful soles!

Weinbrenner Sandals 2012

My current pair of sandals has not fully worn out, but it is very painful on my soles. I'm not going to wear it anymore.

I'm going to buy another pair so that I can alternate between them. It is said to be better for the soles, because the base of the shoes will gradually harden and "pressure spots" will emerge. They will always apply pressure on the same spots on the soles and those spots will be painful over time.

(You can throw the shoes away at this point, but this happens relatively fast, say within six months, so it will be costly.)

If there is another pair of shoes, the pressure spots will be different and thus be spread out. It'll be easier on the soles.

12 GB to 2 GB!

From July, Singtel will lower its 12 GB data cap to 2 GB for its cheapest 3G data plan. Excess will cost S$5.35/GB, capped at S$94/month.

Starhub has also announced it will do so in the near future: from 12 GB to 1 GB!

This is extremely bad!

It is extremely easy to exceed 2 GB even for daily casual surfing. That's just 66 MB/day! Time to surf net without images! :lol: (I used to do that in the 56k modem days; the pages load so much faster.)

In other words, the Telco does not want you to use the mobile broadband as a replacement for your home broadband.

The low data cap is one of the reasons why it is challenging to serve ads on mobile phones. It may cost the user money, and they will hate it.

The Facebook tax bill

finance

News: Facebook employees face $4 billion tax bite

Date: 9 May 2012. Source: CNN.

...

Tech companies, even those not yet public, traditionally reward their employees with stock grants or options that vest over time. That means that employees come into their wealth gradually, on a staggered schedule.

But Facebook pioneered a new form of employee equity using "restricted stock units" (RSUs) that don't turn into actual stock until there's a "liquidity event" — in this case, the company's IPO.

Facebook's goal was to stay below a legal limit on how many shareholders a company can have before it's required to publicly report its financial results. The tactic worked.

Talk about being outsmarted by yourself.

If the Facebook share price is US$17 in six months time, it means Facebook will need to sell twice the number of shares to cover the tax liability of its employees' shares valued at US$38.

The funny thing is, the more shares it sells, the more downward pressure there is on the share price. It's a positive feedback loop.

Nobody expects this to happen, of course, because the share price is supposed to go up, not down — especially by so much.

RSU is a double-edge sword.

Last year, Eduardo Saverin, the co-founder of Facebook, gave up his US citizenship. Although he denied it, it was obvious it was to reduce his tax bill.

Of course, he is still subjected to the US exit tax on the capital gains of the stock holdings at the time of the renunciation.

Basically, he is assuming Facebook share price will go up and he is trying to "lock-in" his tax liability.

Unfortunately, life is not so easy to predict. It is said that Saverin is now worse off than if he had remained a US citizen.

The irony.

History does not repeat, but it rhymes

finance

News: Groupon Stock Tumbles As IPO Lock-Up Period Ends

Date: 1 June 2012. Source: AP.

Groupon's stock tumbled Friday as insiders sold their shares after a post-IPO prohibition was lifted.

Employees and other insiders are required to wait before selling their stock following a company's initial public offering. Groupon's lock-up period expired on Friday. The company went public on Nov. 4.

Shares of Groupon Inc. fell 95 cents, or 8.9 percent, to close at $9.69 Friday. Earlier, the stock was trading as low as $9.53. That's the lowest since its IPO, which priced at $20.

Half price in six months. If Facebook follows the trend, it will be around US$20. And that will be a problem...