My Rambling Thoughts

Quote:

Debugging is twice as hard as writing the code in the first place. Therefore, if you write the code as cleverly as possible, you are, by definition, not smart enough to debug it.

Brian W. Kernighan

News:

Date: . Source: .

Home improvement: the kitchen

Due to budget constraints, and the fact that the flat is more-or-less in a good shape, Missus and I will give priority to renovating the kitchen, the common toilet and the master bedroom toilet.

We are in no hurry, though. We'll probably do the renovations middle of next year.

Let's start with the kitchen.

We'll keep the wall-mounted cabinets, even though they are a bit too high for Missus to reach, but we'll either repaint the butt-ugly green doors to say, white, or, we'll change the doors totally. The doors work fine, it's just that they are butt-ugly.

We'll extend the table-top. I may fill in the space for the fridge and put the fridge somewhere else. That'll give extra table-top space — very limited now — and one more bottom cabinet.

We'll either replace the table-top tiles or wrap the table-top (much cheaper).

We'll move the sink to a better spot. Don't ask me why, but I like my sink to face the window (which overlooks a wall). As a bonus, this will give us more usable bottom cabinets (due to the layout). However, piping may be a problem.

We'll keep the position of the stove, but we may change both the stove and hob — in the future, perhaps. The current stove and hob work fine, but they look very old-fashioned. :lol:

We'll redo all the bottom cabinets and add shelves and drawers to them. The current bottom cabinets are almost unusable, so there is a lack of storage space in the kitchen.

There is a total of seven powerpoints in three locations. We'll probably remove two of them (near the new sink) and add three more (at the extended table-top).

We'll put the kitchen light switch next to the main doorway and make it a 2-way switch. As it is now, we have to walk to the other end of the kitchen to switch on the light. Brilliant design, right?

On the other end of the kitchen, leading to the service balcony, I'm thinking of shifting the light switch nearer to the entrance and putting the service balcony light switch there as well. Now, we need to walk midway into the service balcony before we can turn on the light. (Notice a theme?)

Finally, we'll redo the doors. Both are sliding doors. For the living room doorway, I hope to have a better looking and more compact sliding door. It has to be a top-roller also. I'm thinking of fitting the door into the wall, but that's going to really cost. For the service balcony doorway, the door just have the match the main door design.

We want to do a lot, but we only have a budget of $5k. :lol:

A busy last week of the year

A non-work week should be very idle, but somehow it isn't!

24/12 Can't remember :-P
25/12 Visit a friend (to get reno ideas :-D)
Window shopping at Jurong Point; bumped into ex-colleague
26/12 House cleaning
Troubleshoot Dad's PC (no issue)
27/12 Spent 3 hours queuing to renew passport
Window shopping at Great World City
Final troubleshooting Dad's PC (no issue)
Visit my brother (to get reno ideas)
28/12 56 km trip just to collect passport
Visit Chengtai Nursery (plant nursery, not baby nursery)
Window shopping at Bukit Panjang Plaza
29/12 Routine prenatal checkup
Carry the fish tank out of the flat for disposal; it weighs a ton!
30/12 Reposition fish and shoe cabinets
4 hours shopping for sofa and tv console!
31/12 Put car stuff into fish cabinet
Final sofa shopping

No time to root my phone! :lol:

Happy Chinese New Christmas?

It is pretty jarring to hear Chinese New Year tunes on Christmas day itself. It is usual practice to wait till one festival is over before preparing for the next, but some shops jump the gun.

Even before 2012 is here, many shops are already playing CNY tunes and selling CNY goods.

The cost of lighting

A 10W light uses 7.2 kWh per month if it is turned on 24/7. At 26.98 cents/kWh, it works out to be $1.943.

While we usually don't turn on the lights 24/7, this is equivalent to four 10W lights 6 hours daily — which is typical usage.

Of all electrical appliances, lighting consumes the least electricity; there is almost no need to worry about it.

Rosti, or something like it

Homemade Rosti

Every time I go to Marche, I couldn't resist ordering rosti. Anyway, it is one of the few dishes I can have there. :-)

It looks simple to prepare, so finally, I decided to give it a try. As usual, I watched how-to videos on YouTube. :lol:

There are several ways to do it, but someone claimed that this is the true Swiss way:

  • Wash the potatoes and boil them in salted water for 10-15 mins
  • Peel off the skin
  • Leave them in the fridge overnight
  • Grate them
  • Pan fry using butter
  • Turn it over and repeat
  • Salt and serve!

It's simple, but I still didn't manage to do it properly. :-( First, I wasn't able to fill the butter in the frying pan evenly, so the rosti wasn't fried evenly.

To make matters worse, I wasn't able to turn the rosti over properly! It is supposed to be easy, just put a plate on the rosti and flip the pan. However, my plate was bigger than the pan, so it couldn't fit in. It didn't occur to me to use another plate. :-P

(My pan has a diameter of 26cm, I think the plate is 28cm.)

Note: if the above photo looks different, it is because it was taken with my phone camera; my camera was being repaired.

It's not yours if it's not in your hands

finance

News: The Silver Rush at MF Global

Date: 17 December 2011. Source: Barrons.

Investors are furious that they can't get back the gold and silver they stashed with the failed brokerage.

It's one thing for $1.2 billion to vanish into thin air through a series of complex trades, the well-publicized phenomenon at bankrupt MF Global. It's something else for a bar of silver stashed in a vault to instantly shrink in size by more than 25%.

That, in essence, is what's happening to investors whose bars of silver and gold were held through accounts with MF Global.

The trustee overseeing the liquidation of the failed brokerage has proposed dumping all remaining customer assets — gold, silver, cash, options, futures and commodities — into a single pool that would pay customers only 72% of the value of their holdings. In other words, while traders already may have paid the full price for delivery of specific bars of gold or silver.and hold "warehouse receipts" to prove it.they'll have to forfeit 28% of the value.

You simply have to hand it to those Americans.

MF Global is not exactly a big firm, but its failure has exposed the rot in the system.

First, it stole customer's funds. Of course, none of the creditors are admitting they got the money, least it is clawed back from them. Then, the exchange — who boasts of its backstop in normal times — refused to backstop.

And now? Even people who simply use MF Global to store their fully-paid-for metals have to share the pain?

Does anyone still have any confidence in the financial system?

I have a very simple explanation why the situation is so messy: it is a struggle between powerful groups. The people who got the money are powerfully enough to prevent the money from being clawed back. The people who lost the money have the power to write new rules. So they simply dictate the rest of them to share the loss.

User or Telco fault?

A Singaporean shared his greivance on Facebook over his $349,243.25 data roaming bill.

He claimed that upon appeal, Singtel would waive $336,658.14, as those were incurred through its Bridge DataRoam partner. But he still needed to pay $12,576.51, as those were incurred through another Telco, and the "normal" data roaming charges apply.

He claimed that his phone kept switching network even though he had manually selected the network.

He brought up his tale to gain sympathy and to force Singtel to waive his entire bill — to manage its public relations.

Based on the evidence, I'm inclined to think it is the user's fault. Other people have also found it suspicious.

For example, he only showed page 1 of the bill. He did not show page 2. If he had, it should show that the $336,658.14 charge is offseted automatically and that he is only liable for the $12,576.51 charge in the first place.

Second, he only switched network thrice, and not frequently as he claimed.

Hence, I'm inclined to think the user forgot to select the network on those occasions, but he is now trying to pass it off as a phone issue.

Just what the user did to incur such hefty charges, you might ask? Good question.

His lightest daily usage was 23.5 MB (S$516.49) and his heaviest 2.68 GB (S$60,362.06). :-O

Obviously he must be streaming video.

But that's not what I really want to bring up.

You'll find that when Singaporeans STOMP something or raise some complaints online, they inevitably only show one side of the picture — the side that favours them. It can be quite obvious they are not showing the whole picture, and when people connect the dots, their whole argument falls apart rather quickly.

And, like citizen, like Government.

The Government does the same thing, but it is better at it. We got to read between the lines. What is not mentioned is the interesting bits.

The so-called annual value

In Singapore, the property tax is based on the Annual Value (AV) of the property. And the AV is "the estimated annual rent of the property if it were to be rented out", to quote IRAS.

For owner-occupied homes, the first S$6k of the AV is free, the next S$59k is 4% and it is 6% after that. Non-owner occupied home is a flat 10%.

According to IRAS, the new range of AV for 5-room flats is $125 to $173 — after a one-time $55 rebate — vs the old $96 to $144.

This means the lowest AV for a 5-room flat is $10,500 (from $8,400), and the most expensive $11,700 (from $9,600). This translates to a monthly rental of $875 to $975.

Find me a place in Singapore where you can rent an entire 5-room flat for that. I believe the actual rental should be $1.8k to $3.5k.

Historical data

1990 2004 2008 2010 2011 2012
1-room 1,300 2,100 +20% 0 0 0
2-room 1,900 3,300 +20% 0 0 0
3-room 2,700 4,200 +25% Tax +$72 Tax $0-$36 Tax $0-$41
4-room 3,700 5,400 +18% Tax +$97 Tax $60-$120 Tax $77-$125
5-room 5,400 6,300 +20% Tax +$107 Tax $96-$144 Tax $125-$173
Exec 6,300 6,900 +18% Tax +$103 Tax $108-$156 Tax $137-$185

Before 2012, IRAS did not do a consistent before-and-after comparsion. In 2008, they just use percentage; they did not show the old and new AV. In 2010, they just use the increase in tax. Again, they did not show the old and new AV. Did IRAS do this to obscure the increase?

But there is hope yet. For 2012, they show the tax range! From there, we can calculate the AV. I was surprised at the transparency. :lol:

End-of-year task list

Three things I have been putting off:

  • Cleaning the fish tank
  • Coming up with the renovation list, call up more contractors to get more quotations
  • Rooting my handphone and upgrading it to Android 2.3

Hopefully I do them before the year is out. :-D

High-tech is dumb

If you think the SMRT breakdown is the event of the year, you have set your stage too low.

On 8 December, Iran displayed video footage of the downed US unmanned drone aircraft. US said it crashed and was assembled back, but Iran said it was brought down "electronically".

Nobody believed Iran had the technology to do it, until they outlined how they did it, then suddenly it was a possibility.

First, Iran jammed the communications between the drone and the US operators. This caused the drone to kick into autopilot mode. In this mode, it is supposed to fly to its homebase in Afghanistan using GPS. The only problem was that Iran spoofed the GPS, so the drone landed in Iran instead.

This is what an Iranian engineer said:

"The GPS navigation is the weakest point," the Iranian engineer told The Monitor, giving the most detailed description yet published of Iran's "electronic ambush" of the highly classified US drone. "By putting noise [jamming] on the communications, you force the bird into autopilot. This is where the bird loses its brain."

The "spoofing" technique that the Iranians used — which took into account precise landing altitudes, as well as latitudinal and longitudinal data — made the drone "land on its own where we wanted it to, without having to crack the remote-control signals and communications" from the US control center, says the engineer.

Iran's boast aside, nobody believe Iran has the capability to do this, so the jury is still out on how exactly Iran captured the drone.

Personally, I believe Iran found a weakness and exploited it. In security, you are only as strong as your weakest link.

Today, war is all about automated combat vehicles and electronic warfare.

As easy as french fries

Homemade French Fries

How to prepare french fries:

  • Cut a potato into fries shape
  • Heat up some oil (enough to soak the fries)
  • Fry for 3-4 minutes
  • Sprinkle salt

Or is it?

That's the way I do it, but my fries were never crispy. So I turned to YouTube. :lol: According to the how-to videos, this is the correct procedure to crispy fries:

  • Soak the fries in water for a few minutes to de-starch
  • Freeze the fries for two hours
  • Fry at low temperature to cook the inside. Stop when bright yellow
  • Then fry at higher temperature. Stop when golden brown

There are several variations, but the water, freezing and two-step frying are almost always there.

I seldom prepare fries, though — it uses a lot of oil. And I always reuse the remaining oil for cooking.

A day unlike any other

transport

News: MRT breakdown: Frustrated, confused commuters

Date: 16 December 2011. Source: ST.

Many stranded for hours due to lack of clear directions and alternative transportation

Cellphones became sources of light in a stuck train, a window was broken, and several commuters fainted.

From Raffles Place to Bishan on Thursday, tens of thousands of other commuters had their evening plans in tatters because of the North-South MRT line shutdown. Several were also traumatised after encountering chaotic scenes of fellow commuters pushing and shoving on the shuttle bus bridging services. In the stations, many were frustrated by the lack of signs and directions for alternative transport.

It's like the aftermath of a party. :lol:

The MRT health is linked to PAP's fortune — because it is one of the symbols of PAP's "world class" boast.

People were unhappy about housing, but unhappiness over transport was also slowly rising. All along, the unhappiness was about cost and quality. Now, it could be about safety and even competency — despite the high pay.

It's not just about SMRT. SMRT, LTA, PTC (Public Transport Council). They all lead back to PAP.

Not all MSCPs are the same

transport

Not all MSCPs (Multi-Storey Car Parks) are alike. In terms of season parking, there are ones that cost $75/month and ones that cost $90/month. The difference? The first have some token surface lots, so they are cheaper.

That is the official explanation, of course. But they don't tell you why they do it this way. The truth is, HDB makes the season parking cheaper because such a MSCP was constructed over a surface carpark, whose season parking costs only $65/month.

Then, there are narrow and wide MSCPs. In a wide MSCPs, the lanes are two cars' width, so one car can easily go pass a temporarily parked car. A narrow MSCP allows only one car to drive though its lanes.

It can be quite difficult to park in a narrow MSCP. But that's not my main beef with MSCP.

My main beef is that HDB gives preference to season parking in the lower levels. Visitors have to park at the higher levels.

That is exactly backwards.

Visitors and short-term parking should be at the lower levels. Season parking should be at the higher levels.

In my MSCP, level 1A and 1B are 99.9% full 24/7. I doubt the cars are moved at all during weekdays. Level 2A and 2B are 99.9% full after 7 pm. I'm sure this is similar at other MSCPs.

I will introduce a new pink parking lot: valid for season parking holders only from 8 pm to 8 am, including Sundays and public holidays. This is the opposite of the existing 7-7 rule that give precedence to season parking holders.

Not a good week for SMRT

transport

News: North-South MRT Line breakdown affects thousands

Date: 15 December 2011. Source: CNA.

A second MRT disruption in two days — this time along the North-South Line, affecting thousands of evening peak-hour commuters.

Train services along both directions of the North-South Line were affected from Marina Bay to Braddell stations on Thursday evening.

"Train services between Braddell and Marina Bay MRT stations are disrupted," said a SMRT statement. "Passengers should take alternative modes of transport or the bus bridging service available between Bishan and Marina Bay MRT stations."

On Wednesday, the Circle Line was down. A radio DJ announced it over the air before the official announcement. SMRT wasn't happy and issued a stern public statement.

On Thursday, the north-bound North-South Line was disrupted. Some trains lost power totally. Passengers were stuck inside without any ventilation. Later, they had to walk through the tunnel to evacuate.

To make things worse, SMRT sent out this message to their cabs: "Income opportunity. Dear partners, there is a breakdown in our MRT train services from Bishan MRT to Marina Bay MRT stretch of stations."

Needless to say, this just infuriated the public.

This morning, part of the North-South Line was down again.

It's not a good week for SMRT.

My thoughts

I believe the increased train services and the reduced maintenance has stressed the system, hence a breakdown is inevitable. (Hindsight is 20-20.)

It looks like there is no contingency plan for such a "worst-case" scenario, hence the delay in action.

And it looks like, in general, SMRT is not very prompt in informing the public about the breakdown and its full impact.

The public is already unhappy. This breakdown just adds to the fire:

  • Packed trains
  • An unrepentant highly paid CEO who has made several "so be it" remarks. Personally, I think she's just irritated by the unappreciative public
  • A highly paid transport minister who only knows how to fine
  • A recent cab fare raise

It is now obvious why even though the Cat A COE is $50+k ($13.70/day), people will still want to own a car. (But they are misguided. The roads are jammed packed too.)

My take on Transformers

To me, Transformers is the so-called Generation 1 transformers, those that appear in the initial 98-episode TV cartoons from 1984 to 1987. The first two seasons (65 episodes) are generally watchable, but I'll say only one third of the episodes in the third season are okay. By okay, I mean the plot and the animation.

Even then, the cartoons are meant for children, so there isn't much depth to the stories. Anime, it is not.

I don't like most of the follow-on series, especially the real-life movies. There is only one Transformers movie from 1986. It has a decent plot, is very well animated and still stands up to today's CG cartoons.

After the cartoon ended, G1 lives on in the US comics until 1991. However, I stopped reading way before that, because I didn't really like the art and the story. They also tend to use characters I didn't care about.

(Note that we must view the original cartoons and comics with the correct mindset. They are advertisements for the toyline. The stories suffer as a result.)

The next time the G1 returned to the comics, it was from Dreamwave in 2002. The art was pretty good, but the stories tend to be too grandiose. The company folded in 2005, and some of the stories were left hanging.

IDW picked up the comic franchise in 2006 and has been doing a decent job since. One thing I like about IDW is that they threw away the Matrix and Unicorn. The stories are always related to these two things for almost two decades. I'm sick of them.

The confusing Transformers comic timeline

I'm not talking about the Transformers in-universe timeline. That is confusing. I'm merely talking about the sequence of the comics and how they relate to one another.

It is pretty confusing to me as a casual collector because there is no overall numbering. Each series has its own name and runs for 4-6 TPB volumes (TPB = trade paperback; a collection of single issues).

If I'm not wrong, the sequence is like this:

  • Infiltration (6 issues, Sep 2006)
  • Stormbringer (4 issues, Feb 2007)
  • Escalation (6 issues, May 2007)
  • Devastation (6 issues, May 2008)
  • Revelation (4 issues, Feb 2009)
  • Maximum Dinobots (5 issues, Jul 2009)

There is also the concurrent Spotlight series:

  • Vol 1: Shockwave, Nightbeat, Hot Rod, Sixshot, Ultra Magnus (May 2007)
  • Vol 2: Soundwave, Kup, Galvatron, Optimus Prime, Ramjet (Feb 2008)
  • Vol 3: Blaster, Arcee, Mirage, Grimlock, Wheelie (Sep 2008)

Then, having written themselves into a corner, IDW attempted to reboot the series:

  • All Hail Megatron #1 (7 issues, Feb 2009)
  • All Hail Megatron #2 (6 issues, Sep 2009)
  • All Hail Megatron #3 (5 issues, Oct 2009)
  • All Hail Megatron #4 (4 issues, Jan 2010)

And then they rebooted it again. The current continuity:

  • For All Mankind (6 issues, Jun 2010)
  • International Incident (6 issues, Dec 2010)
  • Revenge of the Decepticons (6 issues, Jul 2011)
  • Heart of Darkness (4 issues, Sep 2011)
  • Chaos Theory (5 issues, Nov 2011)

Some other series:

  • Megatron Origin (4 issues, Dec 2007)
  • Last Stand of the Wreckers (7 issues, Sep 2010)
  • Ironhide (4 issues, Dec 2010)
  • Drift (4 issues, Jan 2011)

I stopped following in Feb 2009. I found it hard to get back because I have no idea where to resume.

Buying some wrong books didn't help. I bought Best of Megatron and Best of Starscream thinking they would be like the Spotlight issues. No, they are not! They are just a compilation of stories from previous issues! I don't want that.

Looking at my current options, I have bought The Transformers: The IDW Collection Volume Four, which gives me Revelation (already have), Maximum Dinobots, Drift and AHM #3.

Most likely I'll buy The Transformers: The IDW Collection Volume Five when it comes out. It contains AHM #1, #2 and #4.

After that, I'm not going to buy anymore Transformers comics for a long long time. :-D

Utilities usage

finance

The national average household utilities usage from Apr to Nov 2011, from SP Power's website:

Type Elect (kWh) Gas (kWh) Water (m^3) Amt
HDB 1rm 126 50 9.3 $67.89
HDB 3rm 295 72 15.1 $136.20
HDB 5rm 470 86 19.6 $198.89

These values seem very high. My average monthly usage in a 3-room flat after 5+ years:

  • Electricity: 117.19 kWh
  • Gas: 4.94 kWh
  • Water: 3.41 m^3

Yes, it is even lower than a 1-room flat.

I wonder how people use so much electricity, gas and water?

The meaning of "revise"

According to a dictionary, to "revise" is to amend or alter.

In Singapore, it has an additional meaning. It means to amend or alter upwards. To revise a fare is as good as saying to raise it.

Another word with a similar usage is "adjust". Fares have always been adjusted upwards, never downwards.

ComfortDelgro just announced it will adjust its fares starting from 12 December.

You can expect to pay $3.20 for the first km in a Sonata, instead of $3 currently. Then, it'll be $0.22/400m instead of $0.20/385m. (A 5.88% increase if you work the math.)

The biggest change is the peak hour surcharge. It is reduced from 35% to 25% of the metered charge, but now lasts 9.5 hours instead of 5.5 hours per day.

All in all, it's effectively a 7.35% increase.

Careless at home!

Missus has been very careless lately.

She broke a new glass cup even before it was unwrapped.

Then she scratched the fridge door when she tried to remove a fridge magnet.

Then she hit a porcelain spoon when retrieving a bowl and it fell onto the floor, shattering into two.

I'm not counting. No, I'm not. :lol:

Well, it takes a while to get used to a new place. Some damage is inevitable.

How not to prepare soya milk

Exploded Soya Milk

Missus claimed she knew how to prepare soya milk. "It's very easy. I've done it before", she said. Plus, she wanted to test drive her long unused blender and shiny new pot.

So, she put the soya beans (and some water) into the blender and hit the start button. To say it didn't sound right was an understatement. I thought something exploded. Missus said it was loud too. "Okay, she has done this before...", I thought.

After blending, she poured the mixture into a pot and boil it. And then she went to do her own stuff.

A few minutes later, I heard a sizzling sound from the kitchen. That definitely didn't sound right. I went in and saw the mixture had overflowed the pot.

By this time, Missus had come into the kitchen. She was bewildered too. "It didn't happen before." She guessed that the glass lid did not allow the gas to escape. So, she tilted the glass lid a little to let the gas vent and restarted the fire. And she went off again.

By this time, I was not 100% sure it would go smoothly. After a few minutes, I decided to observe the pot. And it happened right under my eyes. The mixture boiled and overflowed the pot faster than I could react.

I had some tough questions for Missus. "Are you sure you did it before?", I asked. "Using the same procedure?"

Missus confessed that she just threw the soya beans into the pot to boil last time. And it worked, she said.

Not knowing what went wrong, Missus asked me to call my mother to find out. Unlike Missus, my mother has prepared soya milk correctly before. I was quite reluctant, but I still did it.

"Hi, Mom. Um, how do you prepare soya milk?", I asked. And I promptly got a scolding. :lol:

Why not to prepare soya milk, according to my mother:

  • It is far easier to buy prepared soya milk
  • It takes a lot of effort
  • We don't have the proper equipment

"Yes, I understand. But can you tell me how to prepare it?", I persisted.

And it wasn't as easy as throwing the soya beans into a pot and boiling them. I knew Missus had missed a few steps.

  • First, we got to soak the soya beans for 24 hours to make them soft. That accounts for the noise when blending
  • After blending, we got to sieve the mixture
  • We have to reblend the insoluble material to further extract the juice. We got to do this 2-3 more times :-O
  • We then boil the soya milk, stirring it periodically to prevent it from overheating and overflowing the pot *ahem*
  • Add sugar
  • And we are done!

"Thanks, Mom. Erm, I got to go now. Bye!"

Well, at least the soya milk was still drinkable. But the pot seemed to be permanently stained, though. And it was brand new too.

Btw, Missus wants me to mention that her second attempt was largely successful, after following a simplified version of the steps. This time, the pot only overflowed once. :-D

A life-changing exam

News: Top PSLE pupil from Rulang Primary; 97.4% passes

Date: 24 November 2011. Source: CNA.

Some 97 per cent of students who sat for their Primary School Leaving Examination (PSLE) this year have done well to move on to secondary schools.

Topping the cohort is Yasmin Ziqin Mohamed Yousoof from Rulang Primary School, with a score of 283.

The PSLE is the first exam that can determine the course of your life. It is also an equalizer. Regardless of what happened in the six years of primary education, you can get into a good secondary school based solely on your PSLE score. The next four years, 13-16, is the formative years.

Although PSLE is still scored against 300 points, same as 25 years ago, there has been some grade inflation. In 1988, 252 could get you into TCHS (The Chinese High School). Today, you need 257 to do so.

But don't despair if you do poorly in PSLE. There is another equalizer exam: the GCE 'A' level. You just need to do well enough to get into university. And it is easier than you think, especially after the entry requirements were (drastically?) lowered in the 90s. For some faculties, even a CCC can get you in.

Then, it is up to you. In the end, it is the degree that counts. No one will look at PSLE or GCE 'A' level results.

A lifelong mortgage

finance

After affording the inital downpayment, it is time to service the mortgage.

Let's assume a loan of $300,000 at 2% interest rate.

Years Installment Total interest
15 $1,931 $47,481
20 $1,518 $64,217
30 $1,109 $99,171

A $300,000 30-year loan is pretty affordable at 2% interest rate. The problems?

  • You can't buy much of a flat with it
  • It may not be at 2% forever
  • You pay a lot of interest, almost an $100,000 extra
  • And at the end of 30 years — near your retirement age — your CPF a/c is empty

However, it isn't advisable to immediately opt for a 15-year loan tenture. The reason is that banks do not allow you to increase the loan duration, although they will allow you to shorten it.

The solution is to opt for a longer loan tenture, but make principal repayment from time to time.

For example, if we opt for a 30-year tenture, but make a principal repayment of $36,000 in the 4th year, then $12,000 each on the 5th and 6th year, then the loan tenture is reduced to less than 23 years and the total interest is $62,842.

It is a more flexible arrangement, especially in uncertain times.

Buy vs rent

If we look solely at the installment, we can quickly see why most people consider it more worth it to buy rather than to rent. You pay around the same, but the flat is yours at the end of the day.

This was especially true a few years ago, when you could get a decent 4-room HDB flat for ~$250,000. Your monthly installment works out to be around $800 only. Much cheaper than any rental units you can get.

How long to a home?

finance

First, we try to determine how much we can save.

Pay CPF OA Take-home Saving % Savings
$2,000 $460 $1,600 25% $500
$2,500 $575 $2,000 24% $600
$3,000 $690 $2,400 26.6% $800
$3,500 $805 $2,800 28.5% $1,000
$4,000 $920 $3,200 30% $1,200

With this table, we can quickly see how much we can save up in 3 years. 3 years is a good time frame; not that short, but not too long either.

If both husband and wife earns $2,000 each (39.4th percentile in 2010), they will have $36,000 in cash and $33,120 in CPF. They can afford a flat at $305,600 (including $10,000 COV). That is doable for a 3-room flat, but not a 4-room flat.

Their best choice is to get a new flat. $300,000 can get a 4-room flat. No COV some more.

If both partners earn $3,000 each (58.6th percentile), they will have $57,600 in cash and $49,680 in CPF after 3 years. They can afford a $456,400 flat (including $20,000 COV). That'll give a reasonable 4-room flat in many places, and even a 5-room flat in really outskirt places.

If both partners earn $4,000 each (71.5th percentile), they will have $86,400 in cash and $66,240 in CPF. They can afford a $563,200 flat (including $40,000 COV). That covers most 4-room and 5-room flats, as long as they are not too picky.

From this little exercise, we can see that the household income needs to be $4,000/month before it is feasible to buy a 3-room flat. And there is little problem at $8,000/month.

(Caveat: for the initial affordability only. It still takes 20-30 years to service the mortgage.)

What does this translate to? The bottom 39th percentile or so will find it difficult to buy a (resale) flat. The middle 32th percentile will have to find their own sweet spot. The top 28.5th percentile will have no problem at all, but most of them won't opt for HDB flats.

Cost of a home

finance

In Singapore, HDB flats have an offical valuation. In other words, HDB tells you what a flat is worth based on its location, age, nearby amenities, interior deco, recent transactions and so on.

The valuation is very important because you can only loan up to 80% of it. You have to pay the remaining 20% with cash or CPF (at the point the property is transferred to your name).

If a flat is valued at $375,000, you have to pony up $75,000 upfront. The good news is, you only need to pay 5% in cash ($18,750) if you got the rest in your CPF.

And $375,000 just gives you an average-and-below 4-room flat in non-desirable estates.

Just when you think $75,000 is a lot of money to come up with, there's more: the COV (Cash-Over-Valuation).

What is COV? Basically, HDB allows you to sell your flat independent of the official valuation. Except in long recessions, HDB flats have always sold above valuation. In other words, it is almost always a sellers' market.

Today, you can expect to pay an extra $20,000 for COV at the least. In non-PR ratio filled flats, COVs go up to $50,000 and beyond. Yes, PRs are willing to pay more for a flat and they can afford it. (Note: Malaysian SPRs are not counted as non-PRs by HDB.)

Well, COV is something you got to pay in cash, since it is above the 80% valuation.

So, potentially, you need to pay $38,750 in cash and $56,250 in CPF upfront. That's a huge sum of money to save up, especially if you are the spendthrift type.

Rubbing salt into wound

Don't close your wallet yet. We are not done. :-D

You got to pay stamp duty. It's 1% for the first $180,000, which works out to be $1,800. That's not too bad. The next $180,000 is 2%, which is $3,600. That means, for a flat worth $360,000 (including COV), you got to pay $5,400.

For our flat above, we need to pay $1,800 + $3,600 + $1,050 = $6,450.

The next fee is the lawyer's fee. It is around $1,300, even after subsidy.

Now, the Singapore Government's solution to high stamp duty and lawyer fee is: you can use your CPF to pay for them! So typical. Well, CPF is still your money. Just because you can't touch it doesn't mean you should waste it on unnecessary fees. But Singaporeans are easily fooled. Out of sight, out of mind.

The last fee is your agent's commission — cash only. At 1%, it works out to be $3,950. It is possible to do away with this fee if you do all the legwork yourself.

The total sum

All-in-all, you need to pay a total of $106,700 — $42,700 in cash and $64,000 from CPF.

Surprisingly, it does not take very long to save this amount. For two people earning $3,000 each per month, if they save $700 per month — doable with little sacrifice — they will have $50,400 in 3 years. And their CPF will have $49,680 (OA $690/month). Almost there.

So, it takes 3-4 years to save up.

And you wonder why Singaporeans date so long and marry so late? They are saving for their flat. :lol:

Obstacles to a home

finance

You quickly learn a few things about buying a HDB flat:

  • They are much cheaper than a private property
  • They have a lease of 99 years
  • Each block of flat has a racial and PR ratio quota
  • You need to ballot for a new one; completion time is 3+ years
  • There are many conditions to meet to buy one
  • There are strings attached after you buy one
  • There is an official valuation
  • You have to pay 20% upfront (only 5% in cash, though)
  • There is a Cash-Over-Valuation (COV)

And some costs you may not expect:

  • Buyer pays 1% agent commission (typical for HDB flat)
  • There is a stamp duty
  • There is a lawyer's fee
  • Valuation and application fee

When SERS goes wrong

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News: Southern phase of North-South Expressway affects Rochor Centre, SJI, Novena Ville

Date: 16 November 2011. Source: BT.

It's a one-way ticket from Rochor to Kallang

The southern phase of the planned North-South Expressway (NSE) will involve the relocation of the largest ever number of Housing & Development Board flats for an infrastructure project, the Land Transport Authority revealed yesterday.

Some 567 flats in the four-block Rochor Centre will be demolished to make way for a 5.6-kilometre stretch of tunnel that will complete the 21.5-km NSE. The tunnel will run from Toa Payoh Rise to East Coast Parkway.

Today, Woodlands, Sembawang and Yishun are the three cheapest towns in Singapore. With the NSE, they may not be. After all, they are the intended recipients. AMK and Marymount residents suffer the most and gain only a little.

The central and northern phase were unveiled in January, but the southern phase was only just revealed. Tough luck to the 10 new Rochor Centre HDB flat owners since Feburary. They paid $419k (Feb) to $455k (Aug) for their 3-room units, and now they have to move to Kallang!

SERS does not guarantee that the replacement flat is within the vicinity of the existing one — usually yes, but sometimes not. And this is one of sometimes-not.

This is really a good excuse to acquire the prime land that is Rochor Centre, if you ask me. When the dust settles, I'm sure Rochor Centre will be a high-end condo or a shiny mega-mall.

Well, this is just Singapore's urban renewal in progress. No wonder people don't feel connected — their memories no longer exist.

For me, I remember Rochor Centre for two reasons: it is the place I transferred my CB400F bike and that its carpark is just outside the CBD ERP zone — and within walking distance to SLS and Bugis Junction!

Bondzilla appears, finally!

finance

In the economic crisis since 2007, people thought Bondzilla will show up. It didn't. That's because the US poured in so much money "to rescue" the economy.

It has appeared today. The Greece 10Y Government bond yield is 28.48% now. Its 1Y bond yield is even more crazy, at 249.20%. As a rule-of-thumb, anything above 15-20% is an implied default rate. (In a default, you get a haircut, so 250% could just be 25%.)

The next target is Italy. (Why was Spain skipped, I have no idea.) Its 1Y bond yield is 6.087%. That's near event horizon.

The ECB (Europe Central Bank) claims it has infinite money, i.e. it can print money, just like US does with its QE. But is it true? Unlike last time, I'm sure this time there are speculators who are willing to test the water.

Interesting times ahead.

What's with Bedok Reservoir?

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Since June this year, there has been five suicide cases (six bodies) in Bedok Reservoir.

Why this reservoir? Why not others? Are the people living in the east more stressed?

There has also been a few HDB jumpers and one case of charcoal-burnining suicide.

This was unheard of even two years ago. But maybe it's because the cases are more high-profile. There were 364 suicide cases in 2008, 401 in 2009 and 353 in 2010, so it's not like there has been a drastic increase.

Suicide is an easy way out.. for the deceased. It is painful for his or her loved ones who are left behind.

Why do people kill themselves? Same old reasons: love, depression and debt. Debt is the least worth it of all, but sometimes you borrow until you can't pay back within your lifetime. Then, you wonder if you are better off dead.

Note that a certain Government is also trying its best to keep its citizens in debt their whole life. It is to its advantage that they are wage slaves. That's just life on that little island.

Singapore, Bhutan, and Shangri-La

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I've not heard of Bhutan, until Mr Khaw, Mr Geography, mentioned it in the parliament. He was responding to Workers' Party Sylvia Lim's question about Bhutan's Gross National Happiness Index.

Yesterday, Mr Khaw said Bhutan was no "Shangri-La". When he was there, he saw "unhappy people", toiling in the fields, worried about the next harvest and whether there would be buyers for their products.

And that comment ruffled a few feathers in Bhutan.

Mr Khaw is a very perceptive person and can tell if a person is happy or not by looking at him. But most people, including his fellow Malaysians, do not believe it. :lol:

I'm really wondering about Mr Khaw. He has made gaffes so many times that I wonder if he is deliberately doing it — to provoke the masses to think about the issue.

At any rate, it is good entertainment.